This year will be remembered as a watershed moment for global collaborative efforts to combat climate change. In November, leaders of more than 190 countries met at the Glasgow climate conference -- COP26 -- to try to avert the worst effects of global heating.
It is satisfying to see negotiating parties at the conference resolving key outstanding elements of the Paris Agreement related to finance and Article 6 on carbon trading.
Another major breakthrough was the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration on Forests and Land Use which pledges to halt and reverse forest loss and land degradation by 2030 while delivering sustainable development and promoting an inclusive rural transformation.
Without a doubt, the more holistic integration of themes such as biodiversity, post-Covid-19 recovery and social justice is a new and important direction. The decision by the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to return in one year to improve their nationally determined contributions and climate pledges is also a bright spot.
However, at RECOFTC, The Center for People and Forests, we are concerned and disappointed that the 1.5C goal remains far off and that parties have not unanimously agreed to phase out unabated coal power and fossil fuel subsidies. As we go forward, we must not lose sight of the 1.5C goal and ensure that it remains vibrant.
With the dust after the Glasgow climate conference settling, here are our six major takeaways for future climate change responses with implications for the Asia-Pacific region.
Indigenous, local communities
The body of evidence and social justice demands have aligned to put indigenous peoples and local communities on the global stage as never before. This shift has gained momentum since 2016 when the Members Assembly of the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) made a landmark move to add a new category of IUCN membership for indigenous peoples' organisations, separate and in addition to non-governmental organizations. Among other commitments and strong enshrinement of language recognizing the rights of indigenous peoples and local communities in the Glasgow Climate Pact were pledges of US$1.7 billion (57 billion baht) over the next four years for climate solutions that they lead. RECOFTC is proud to be a facilitating member of the Peoples Forests Partnership, an initiative to channel climate and conservation finance directly to indigenous peoples and local communities.
Importance of the forest sector
While initiatives such as REDD+ were initially left out of carbon trading mechanisms due to the complexity of forest systems, forests are now fully in the spotlight. The Glasgow Leaders Declaration on halting deforestation by 2030 is a milestone and one of the brightest moments in a COP full of dramatic announcements. Indeed, the devil is in the details. Previous pledges such as the 2014 New York Declaration on Forests to halve global forest loss by 2020 have failed. However, there are notable differences between the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration and prior pledges. One of these is the sheer number of countries signing on.
To date, 141 countries and the EU have endorsed it. Together, they cover over 90% of the planet's forests. A second key difference is that for the first time, a pledge to reduce deforestation is coupled with significant net-zero emission commitments by corporations that are promising to remove deforestation risk commodities from supply chains. This bodes well for the retention of forest cover in the Asia-Pacific region. However, there is already concern that these commitments do not preclude the substitution of existing natural forests with palm oil and other commercial plantations. It is crucial for biodiversity, ecosystem services and indigenous peoples and local communities that natural forests remain intact. This must be the true spirit of the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration.
Asia must increase climate ambition
In Glasgow, we saw a tightrope balancing act between economic development, including regional reliance on coal, and climate goals. Asia must be willing to demonstrate leadership in keeping the global heating target of 1.5C within reach. The impacts of climate change are being disproportionately felt in Asia. Between 1996 and 2015, six of the world's 10 countries most affected by extreme weather events in terms of fatalities and economic losses were in Asia. Yet, the ambition expressed in the revised nationally determined contributions among countries in Asia has been marginal, especially in the forest and land-use sectors. Disappointingly, the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration to date includes only six countries from Southeast Asia out of the 140-plus national signatories. Many of the high forest cover countries in the region have yet to sign on: Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Thailand.
Adaptation featured prominently
Climate adaptation was symbolically given first mention in the Glasgow Climate Pact which took some of the sting out of the miserly financial contributions it received. Adaptation financing will double as a collective share of the promised $100 billion per year for climate measures accruing from developed countries. The Adaptation Fund created in 2001 under the Kyoto Protocol to fund climate adaptation saw a record tripling of contributions, but at $356 million, it is still much less than global expenditures on ice cream.
Show us the money
Financing was a major theme at COP 26. This included the failure to meet the symbolic delivery of the $100 billion per year commitment from the world's wealthiest countries, and the failure to produce a strong agreement and actions on loss and damage for countries suffering the worst climate effects. Nevertheless, new pledges are made in COP 26. Pledges included funds earmarked by the United Kingdom for climate support to the Asia-Pacific region. A financial sector coalition with assets in the range of $130 trillion pledged to put climate change at the centre of its work including divestment from investments based on fossil fuels. The impacts of such commitments are already being felt with the price of coal shares falling in the days following COP26.
Carbon offsets communications
Terms such as "Article 6", "net zero" and "voluntary carbon markets" are being caught up in pushback by the public against what some people perceive as false solutions. This justified concern about land grabbing, human rights violations and failure by countries and corporations to reduce their emissions by purchasing offsets in lower-income countries must be clarified and addressed. In principle, these claims may not be supported.
National emission reduction targets and corporate net-zero commitments are largely separate from internationally traded carbon offsets (except as internationally transferred mitigation outcomes and where all emission reductions within supply chains have been achieved). Rules such as the Net Zero Standard through the Science Based Targets initiative are coming into place with the intention that offsets are in addition to supply chain emission reductions, not as substitutes.
At RECOFTC, we build capacity for sustainable development and climate change solutions through community forestry. As part of our work, we have seen firsthand the dire need to communicate information to national and sub-national stakeholders, and especially indigenous peoples and local communities, in ways that are transparent and appropriate. International climate conferences are highly technical, opaque and exclusive.
But the implications of the decisions reached, the challenges and opportunities, are lived most directly by rural communities such as those living in and near forests who are on the frontlines of climate change impact.
Source: The Bangkok Post